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Analysis of Baloch insurgency

As the Zia era came to a close, the sardari system again came under pressure, gradually. The number of Baloch sardars was 75 then. Each headed a separate tribe. In terms of population the Bugti, Mat-ri and Mengal tribes were about one hundred thousand each. The Makranis in Lus Bela Makran, Jiwani and other coastal districts are not ethnically Baloch. Only three sardars i.e. Bugti, Mengal and Mat-ri, out of the 75 are really the trouble-makers and black mailers. The rest are by and large law-abiding but the three above mentioned sardars wield greater influence among the Baloch than all others put together. The so-called Balochistan Liberation Army (BLA) has the immoral and material support of three warlords— Akbar Bugti, Khair Bux Man and Ata-Ullah Mengal.

The above Baloch sardars led four insurgencies in 1948, 1958-59, 1962-63 and 1973-77. Now the fifth one is underway by better organized and well equipped BLA’guerrillas. It has several training camps and is well equipped with heavy weapons, small arms, modern communication systems consisting of wireless radios and cell phones. The BLA internet web site indulges in vicious propaganda against Pakistan, the Army and the Punjab to mislead and indoctrinate the edacated Baloch youth.

The 1974-77 Marri-Mengal insurgency deserves special study to understand the real nature of anti-state activities of the belligerent element. Khair bux Mart-i and Ataullah Mengal had 60 thousand armed fighters under their command. The insurgency continued for years till in 1977 it was crushed by the Pakistan Army in which 3 thousand rebels were killed and thousands injured. Khair Bux Marri fled to Afghanistan and Ataullah Mengal took asylum in UK. Khair Bux Mat-ri had created the BLA in 1971 with Moscow’s material support. The long term objective of the then USSR, being in control of Afghanistan, was to extend its influence to Balochistan with dual purpose. Its strategy was creation of an independent Balochistan to weaken Pakistan, as the US ally on the one hand and on the other to establish its own influence in the region to secure unhindered access to the warm waters of the Arabian Sea. Khair Bux Mann, as a rabid Marxist-Leninist, had carried out indoctrination of his tribesmen and served the cause of the USSR. As a member of the National Assembly he refused to sign the Constitution of Pakistan in 1973. Even today he is the mastermind behind the ongoing insurgency and anti-state BLA propaganda. Ataullah Mengal, who became Chief Minister after the dissolution of One Unit in 1969, resorted  to seize properties and jobs of the people whom he alleged were non-Balochis. Now he demands not an autonomous but an independent Balochistan.

The fact is that the policy of appeasement adopted by the Federal government has blown the image and stature of these three sardars out of proportion. They give the impression as if they are the spokesmen of the whole of Balochistan. The fact is that they represent only a minority. It is their nuisance value in the backdrop of vast silent and patriotic majority that is the villain of the piece. 1t the last census Balochistan’s population was 5.5 million which is now close to 6 million. It comprises 3 million Baloch only. Pushtuns are 2.5 million and the rest half million are mixed races. Pushtun areas adjoining NWFP demand merger with NWFP or creation of a separate province known as South Pushtunistan. Balochistan is not one single ethnic entity. It is inhabited by Balochs, Pathans, Brohis, Sindhis, Punjabis and Urdu speaking muhajirs.

Inside the Topic

problems for Pakistan, Strategic significance of Baluchistan, Past History, The System of Sardari Act of 1976, Analysis of Baloch insurgency, Causes of unrest in Balochistan, The Strategy, Education Function, What is required be done, The fiscal aspect, Tribesmen sardars and the government, Tribal tradition of sardari-feudalism, The above discourse leads us to following conclusions, The master strategy, Four Lane Economic Corridor, Gwadar Port, The great power game, What should Pakistan do, Conclusion, and others.