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Lesson: Challenging Problem Solving - 26

Basic Probability

[Page 26 of 37]

When we use the term 'probably' in general conversation, we are usually referring to the chance, or the possibility, of a particular event or occurrence: "He'll probably win the match"; "She'll probably attend the meeting".
Mathematical probability
also involves possibilities and chance, but in far more precise manner.

For our purposes, probability may be defined as follows:

The example below will illustrate this concept:

A box contains 3 blue marbles, 2 green marbles, and 4 red marbles. If one marble is selected at random, what is the probability that a blue marble is chosen?

In this scenario, we have a total of nine marbles—these marbles represent our possible outcomes. In selecting a marble randomly, we could choose any of the nine contained within the box.

Our desired outcome, however, is to select a blue marble. We don't care what blue marble we select—it just needs to be blue. We have 3 blue marbles we could choose, so we have 3 chances to obtain a blue marble.

Therefore, the probability of selecting a blue marble is:

Now use our sample question to determine the probability for each of the two selections that follow. For each one, enter your response into the textbox and then click Continue.
What is the probability that a green marble is chosen?
_____

 

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